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Assignment - Benchmark - Descriptive Statistics Project

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Find the appropriate measure of center. Discuss why the chosen measure is most appropriate. Why did you decide against other possible measures of center?

Find the appropriate measure of variation. The measure of variation chosen here should match the measure of center chosen in Part 1.

Find the graph(s) needed to appropriately describe the data. These may be done by hand and inserted into the Word document.

Define a random variable (X) so that your chosen data set represents values of X.

Is your chosen random variable discrete or continuous? Explain how you know.

Would the Normal or Binomial distribution be a good fit for the underlying sample distribution of X? If one of them is a good fit, state how you would approximate the distribution parameters.

Calculate the probability that a flight will depart early or on-time.

Calculate the probability that a flight will arrive late.

Calculate the probability that a flight departs late or arrives early.

The variable taken into consideration is DEP_DELAY, and it represents the time duration which is calculated by subtracting scheduled time from actual departure time. If the departure time is early than the scheduled time, then the difference is negative. The descriptive statistics is given below

 DEP_Delay Mean -5.296 Standard Error 0.411966261 Median -5 Mode 0 Standard Deviation 9.211845646 Sample Variance 84.8581002 Kurtosis -0.447743138 Skewness 0.208172375 Range 47 Minimum -24 Maximum 23 Sum -2648 Count 500

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The mean difference in time which is calculated by subtracting scheduled time from actual departure time is - 5.296 minutes with a standard deviation of 9.212 minutes. The mean difference in time which is calculated by subtracting scheduled time from actual departure time is - 5 minutes. Here, we see that the mean departure time difference is greater than the median departure time and therefore, we can say that the distribution violates the assumption of normality. When the distribution follows normal, then mean is the appropriate central tendency measure. On the other hand, when the distribution is skewed, then mean is highly affected by outliers and therefore, median is the best central tendency measure

Thus, we can use median and interquartile range as the central tendency and variation measures respectively for non-normally distributed variables.  Here, the random variable X represents the time duration which is calculated by subtracting scheduled time from actual departure time

The variable is continuous

Since the variable taken into consideration is continuous variable, the normal distribution would be the appropriate distribution for this random variable

About 327 out of 500 samples showed early departure. That is the probability of early departure 0.654

About 209 out of 500 samples showed late arrival. That is the probability of late arrival is 0.418

About 34 out of 500 flights that departs late and arrives early, that is, the probability of flights that depart late and arrive early is 0.068

Flight Arrival

The mean difference in time between which is calculated by subtracting scheduled time from actual departure time is - 3.138 minutes with a standard deviation of 9.66 minutes. The mean difference in time which is calculated by subtracting scheduled time from actual departure time is - 2 minutes. Here, we see that the mean arrival time difference is greater than the median arrival time and therefore, we can say that the distribution violates the assumption of normality. When the distribution follows normal, then mean is the appropriate central tendency measure. On the other hand, when the distribution is skewed, then mean is highly affected by outliers and therefore, median is the best central tendency measure

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Thus, we can use median and interquartile range as the central tendency and variation measures respectively for non-normally distributed variables

From the information given, it is found that the mean arrival time of flight is - 2.5 with a standard deviation of 23. This indicates that, on an average, the flight arrives 2.5 units earlier when compared with the scheduled time. In order to determine the probability of flights that arrived late, we need to find P (X > 0)

P(X>0) = 1-P((x-μ)/σ<(0-(-2.5))/23)

=1-P(Z<(0-(-2.5))/23),where z=(x-μ)/σ~N(0,1)

= 1 - P (Z < 0.109)

= 0.457 (by referring normal distribution table)

Thus, we see that the probability of flights arriving late is 0.457, that is, 45.7% of the flights arriving late. This result closely matches with the result given in part 8 which says that the probability of late arrival is 0.418 and therefore we can say that there is no difference in the results obtained.

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